U.S. markets diverged on Wednesday as falling oil prices eased inflation worries, while pressure on technology shares, crypto assets and precious metals kept risk sentiment in focus. By midday June 24, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was trading near 51,828, up about 163 points. The S&P 500 slipped 0.11% to roughly 7,357 amid continued weakness in growth-sensitive assets.

比特币跌破60000美元，24小时清算2.53亿美元多头；主因美国5月CPI超预期达4.2%及霍尔木兹海峡局势升级，导致市场大幅下调美联储降息预期（Polymarket定价零降息概率79%）。Strategy股价跌破100美元，创今年新低；其融资工具STRC已低于面值，现金储备年内缩水38%。文中明确提及Strategy、Oil、Nasdaq三只传统资产，且存在直接宏观传导链。

Markets priced in higher odds of another Federal Reserve rate hike in December, with CME FedWatch showing the probability rising above 70%. Tech shares came under pressure amid concerns over the durability of AI capital spending and chip-sector warnings, including Cerebras lowering its profit-margin outlook and Micron sliding 3.2% premarket. The Nasdaq fell 0.37% and the S&P 500 declined 0.12%. Oil slid to its lowest since the start of the Iran war, lifting airline stocks, but not enough to offset the drag from technology.

Mining profitability remains subdued across major proof-of-work assets, keeping pressure on operators. Dogecoin and Litecoin miners are among those facing the toughest conditions as returns stay low across the sector.

Australian shares were set to open higher after ASX 200 futures rose 0.2% to 8810, as late gains in US tech sentiment followed Micron Technology’s earnings beat. US inflation worries eased as the 10-year Treasury yield fell 10 basis points to 4.39% after oil slid more than 5% and bitcoin briefly dipped below $US60,000. Investors are awaiting Australia’s May labour force report at 11.30am AEST, which is expected to show the economy added more than 40,000 jobs and the unemployment rate edged down to 4.4%.

Tesla reported Q1 2026 revenue of $22.39 billion, up 16% year over year, and earnings per share of $0.41, ahead of the $0.30 consensus estimate. Active Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscriptions rose 51% to 1.28 million, and the company has begun unsupervised Robotaxi testing in Dallas and Houston while receiving regulatory approval for FSD in parts of Europe. The company said a new NHTSA investigation tied to a Texas crash centers on driver intervention, which it described as the primary cause. Tesla shares are around $375, versus an average analyst price target of $411.91.

The total crypto market capitalization slipped to $2.07 trillion as Bitcoin fell below $60,000. The drop set off $622 million in liquidations over the past 24 hours. Market sentiment also deteriorated sharply, with the Fear and Greed Index at 17, indicating “extreme fear.”

The U.S. and Iran agreed on a 60-day ceasefire roadmap, keeping the Strait of Hormuz open and prompting the U.S. Treasury to authorize temporary Iranian oil sales. WTI crude fell 3.5% to $70.64 a barrel after dipping below $70 intraday, while Brent slid 3.8% to $74.13, returning to near prewar levels. Gold dropped 2.6% to $4,003 an ounce and was down 11.5% month to date, marking its worst monthly performance since 2008. The sudden geopolitical de-escalation drove a rapid repricing across energy and precious metals.